Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.708248 10.177538 11.785315 13.670737 15.816440 18.177513 20.967262
2026-01-11 6.245661 8.229602 10.629944 13.725767 17.588166 22.221555 28.171087
2026-01-18 4.803017 6.972349 9.815484 13.764094 19.047006 25.804924 35.025483
2026-01-25 3.728709 5.891547 8.928994 13.420786 19.790509 28.378693 40.684454
2026-02-01 2.966617 5.061543 8.191553 13.083606 20.380248 30.670947 46.039026
2026-02-08 2.347418 4.309129 7.416306 12.528871 20.515411 32.246976 50.427611
2026-02-15 1.899615 3.736655 6.809616 12.111399 20.749747 33.912239 54.994880
2026-02-22 1.678578 3.505964 6.709652 12.464077 22.177364 37.435452 62.548777
2026-03-01 1.497588 3.311268 6.634564 12.831913 23.639484 41.095770 70.545430
2026-03-08 1.242739 2.924406 6.157002 12.432564 23.761968 42.605351 75.226477
2026-03-15 1.047837 2.618725 5.780066 12.155456 24.044650 44.365199 80.391970
2026-03-22 0.977619 2.564965 5.878971 12.767225 25.944960 48.952190 90.504036
2026-03-29 0.874832 2.431566 5.825250 13.132000 27.529093 53.287017 100.800300
2026-04-05 0.754495 2.234147 5.615061 13.175547 28.548995 56.774390 110.009740
2026-04-12 0.651837 2.055614 5.415174 13.210630 29.551039 60.304581 119.549574
2026-04-19 0.542277 1.830049 5.067860 12.879143 29.780777 62.418238 126.679161
2026-04-26 0.451713 1.631522 4.746525 12.553907 29.975842 64.461113 133.793950
2026-05-03 0.366549 1.423103 4.359945 12.019007 29.661617 65.479248 139.037381
2026-05-10 0.301787 1.257660 4.050478 11.616538 29.578647 66.925672 145.167257
2026-05-17 0.274445 1.208638 4.045176 11.956535 31.172891 71.852652 158.358065
2026-05-24 0.250518 1.164656 4.046065 12.311190 32.831345 77.021535 172.332057
2026-05-31 0.207686 1.036213 3.777013 11.926153 32.729042 78.507447 179.016764
2026-06-07 0.174715 0.933830 3.564604 11.659008 32.872999 80.514516 186.870290